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Elon Musk stated that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could help curb inflation through cost-cutting measures, aiming for a 15% improvement in taxpayer spending. He believes that a combination of increased economic output and reduced budget deficits could stabilize prices, leading to a higher standard of living by the end of next year. Musk attributed inflation to government policies, describing it as an indirect tax on consumers, and emphasized that shifting resources from government to the private sector would enhance economic efficiency.
Goldman Sachs has raised the likelihood of a recession under President Trump to 35%, citing the risks from new tariffs and a decline in household and business confidence. The firm predicts a 0.3% increase in unemployment, estimating that Trump's policies could reduce GDP growth by 1.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, Moody's Analytics has also increased its recession probability to 40%, warning of a potential "recession by design."
Goldman Sachs has downgraded its S&P 500 forecast, now predicting a modest 3% increase by year-end, down from 12%. The bank anticipates a 15 percentage point rise in average US tariffs, leading to inflation hitting 3.4% and a 35% chance of recession within the next year. If a recession occurs, profits for S&P 500 companies could drop by 13%, potentially causing a 17% decline in stock values. Investors are increasingly favoring foreign stocks, particularly in Europe, as US economic pressures mount.
Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of a US recession to 35% due to President Trump's tariffs, up from 20%. The bank anticipates that these tariffs will increase average rates on trading partners to 15%, leading to higher consumer prices and prompting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates three times this year. Economic growth is projected to slow to 1.5% annually, reflecting the negative impact of the tariffs.
Goldman Sachs has raised the likelihood of a U.S. recession to 35% over the next year, citing increased tariffs and declining consumer sentiment. The bank predicts inflation will rise to 3.5% and unemployment to 3.5%, while projecting weak economic growth of just 0.2% for Q1 and 1% for the year, raising concerns of stagflation. Additionally, Goldman Sachs anticipates the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times in 2025 to stimulate growth, despite the risk of further inflation.
Goldman Sachs has once again reduced its S&P 500 target, citing the impact of tariffs on stock returns and economic growth. This adjustment reflects ongoing concerns about the broader economic implications of trade policies.
Goldman Sachs predicts that President Trump's tariffs will raise US inflation and unemployment, with a recession probability now at 30%. The average US tariff rate is expected to increase by 15 percentage points, potentially reduced to 9 through negotiations. Economic growth is projected to stall, prompting anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank.
Goldman Sachs has increased the probability of a U.S. recession in the next year to 35%, citing escalating trade tensions and declining consumer and business confidence. The firm has also adjusted its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1%, anticipates three interest rate cuts this year, and raised its year-end inflation forecast to 3.5%. Other institutions, including JPMorgan and Moody's Analytics, echo these concerns, with recession probabilities of 40% and warnings of soft consumer spending amid high inflation.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a mere 1% GDP growth for the U.S. in 2025, suggesting a narrow avoidance of recession, yet predicts unemployment will rise to 4.5% and inflation to 3.5%. The outlook is influenced by anticipated tariff impacts, which could stifle consumer demand and business investments, leading to a cautious economic environment.
Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of a U.S. recession to 35%, citing deteriorating consumer and business confidence, and the economic impact of higher tariffs. The bank anticipates three interest rate cuts this year, despite inflation concerns, as it shifts focus to labor market issues and growth stagnation. Meanwhile, Moody's Mark Zandi has increased recession odds to 40%, suggesting a potential "recession by design" due to current policies.
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